Last week, Russia fired more than 700 attack and decoy drones at Ukraine, the largest barrage of war, which began in 2022. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said that the Kremlin was "making a point" with the attack, which appeared to be aimed at destroying Ukraine's supply of Western weapons.

US President Donald Trump’s 50-day pause ahead of possible secondary sanctions on Russia gifts the Kremlin a window to exploit the incremental gains of recent weeks in Ukraine’s east.

On Monday, Trump said that Russia's failure to reach a negotiated settlement with Ukraine within 50 days would lead to his administration imposing a 100% tariff rate on Russian imports as well as what he called "secondary tariffs" on countries that have continued to do business with Moscow.