The Dolphins want Tua Tagovailoa to play it safe. But is that a formula to beat Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow?

According to The Athletic's playoff prediction model, the Dolphins have a 19% chance of making the playoffs heading into Week 18. This places them behind the Denver Broncos, who have a 74% chance, but ahead of the Cincinnati Bengals, whose chances stand at just 6%.

Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is doubtful for Week 18 due to a hip injury he suffered earlier this month. Tagovailoa was also doubtful last week for a game against the Cleveland Browns and was eventually listed as inactive.