It's important to understand that China does not want to fight a war over Taiwan, so if the Trump administration adheres closely to the One China Policy and resists forms of military provocation (e.g. sending troops to Taiwan or undertaking joint exercises with Taiwan), then it is likely that Beijing will continue to live with the status quo.

President Biden and China's President Xi held their last face-to-face meeting at a trade summit in Peru. But President-elect Trump's threatened tariffs could push the region into Beijing's arms.